Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.004181 0.004698 0.005282 0.005994 0.006848 0.007849 0.009127
2025-12-28 0.003575 0.004263 0.005109 0.006248 0.007776 0.009810 0.012824
2026-01-04 0.003160 0.003917 0.004902 0.006321 0.008389 0.011427 0.016529
2026-01-11 0.002830 0.003608 0.004666 0.006269 0.008763 0.012742 0.020211
2026-01-18 0.002599 0.003392 0.004510 0.006283 0.009207 0.014247 0.024812
2026-01-25 0.002373 0.003154 0.004285 0.006144 0.009359 0.015272 0.028941
2026-02-01 0.002157 0.002906 0.004014 0.005885 0.009246 0.015762 0.032137
2026-02-08 0.001973 0.002687 0.003763 0.005624 0.009074 0.016080 0.035094
2026-02-15 0.001883 0.002602 0.003711 0.005687 0.009515 0.017807 0.042976
2026-02-22 0.001769 0.002471 0.003571 0.005577 0.009593 0.018742 0.049191
2026-03-01 0.001659 0.002338 0.003416 0.005421 0.009547 0.019367 0.054901
2026-03-08 0.001567 0.002226 0.003288 0.005296 0.009548 0.020116 0.061855
2026-03-15 0.001518 0.002187 0.003287 0.005435 0.010201 0.023006 0.082702
2026-03-22 0.001486 0.002172 0.003328 0.005664 0.011132 0.027236 0.120465
2026-03-29 0.001431 0.002116 0.003291 0.005729 0.011682 0.030609 0.164440
2026-04-05 0.001367 0.002038 0.003207 0.005683 0.011940 0.033132 0.213104
2026-04-12 0.001316 0.001980 0.003153 0.005695 0.012359 0.036589 0.294886
2026-04-19 0.001253 0.001896 0.003045 0.005574 0.012376 0.038411 0.371619
2026-04-26 0.001182 0.001796 0.002899 0.005348 0.012042 0.038504 0.421623
2026-05-03 0.001116 0.001701 0.002756 0.005119 0.011660 0.038221 0.467135
2026-05-10 0.001087 0.001670 0.002737 0.005174 0.012170 0.042811 0.741100
2026-05-17 0.001044 0.001611 0.002658 0.005078 0.012179 0.044785 0.998024
2026-05-24 0.000999 0.001547 0.002565 0.004941 0.012027 0.045789 1.272184